What's at Stake?
Notes and Sources
Reference Data
Overview
The following datasets are available in NPP's online database:
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Population data are taken from the Census Bureau.
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Median Household Income and People in Poverty come from the Current Population Survey.
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Total energy and renewable energy are taken from the Energy Information Administration.
The following data is available from outside sources:
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The budget shortfall figures come from “States Continue to Feel Recession's Impact,” a report produced by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.
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The number of people not covered by health insurance in 2009 was taken from health table H106 in the current Population Survey from the Census Bureau.
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150 percent poverty rate age 0-4 is taken from the 2010 March Supplement of the Current Population Survey.
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Unemployment is the 2010 average from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Introduction
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The information on state budget cuts is taken from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities "State Budget Cuts in the New Fiscal Year Are Unnecessarily Harmful Cuts Are Hitting Hard at Education, Health Care, and State Economies," except for cuts for the District of Columbia, Hawaii and Vermont, which are taken from CBPP's "An Update on State Budget Cuts: At Least 46 States Have Imposed Cuts That Hurt Vulnerable Residents and the Economy."
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The Head Start quote is from a 2008 press release by the National Head Start Association.
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The Health Insurance quote is from testimony given before the House Energy and Commerce Committee, Subcommittee on Health in March of 2009.
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The renewable energy quote comes from a book published in 1999 by the Union of Concerned Scientists.
Cost of War
This sheet computes the Cost of War (COW) for each state and provides breakouts for each individual war, for FY2011 only and cumulative numbers. See our Cost of War website for an up-to-the minute counter. These numbers are based on an analysis of legislation enacted Congress to fund the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and research by the Congressional Research Service which draws in part on Department of Defense financial reports.The fiscal year 2011 numbers are from P.L. 112-10, the Department of Defense and Full-Year Continuing Appropriations Act for Fiscal Year 2011.
We calculated each state's share of taxes paid into federal funds revenues (based on IRS data). This includes individual income taxes, corporate income taxes, excise, gift and estate taxes.Each state's share of taxes was then multiplied by the total amount of the war.
Head Start
Head Start is a federally funded educational program which provides low-income toddlers and children with the scholastic skills they need to succeed once they reach primary school. Studies have found some gains in vocabulary and math abilities in addition to better health and welfare outcomes for participating children. Federal guidelines require that 90 percent of Head Start seats be filled by children living at or below 100 percentof the poverty rate ($22,113 for a family of 4.) However, the Office of the Inspector General of the Department of Health and Human Services finds that children living between 100 percent and 150 percent of the poverty rate have the greatest need ofHead Start services.
Head Start Data
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“Head Start Eligible” numbers measure the number of children aged 0-4 between 100-149 percent of the poverty level and are taken from the 2010 March Supplement of the Current Population Survey.
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“Head Start 2009 Enrollment” numbers taken from the Early Childhood Learning and Knowledge Center.
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“Cost per Head Start Enrollee” numbers (amount allocated/number enrolled) based on information taken from the Early Childhood Learning and Knowledge Center.
Note here that since the cost of one year of war is greater that any Head Start Enrollment Gap, we compute how many YEARS of Head Start gap enrollment could be funded.
Insurance
Rising costs of health care affect the country as a whole, but those with no insurance to protection them from those costs fare the worst. A study conducted at the Harvard Medical School finds that 45,000 people die each year from lack of health insurance. The health, financial, and social costs for people lacking insurance make providing access to basic Medicaid coverage an imperative.
Insurance Data
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The number of people not covered by health insurance in 2009 was taken from health table HI06 in the Current Population Survey.
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Projected cost of low-income healthcare is based on forecasts of Medicaid cost per person using the last five years of data (2006-2010) taken from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Data Compendium.
Energy
The cost of securing and transporting the fossil fuels used to drive the U.S. economy is enormous and rising. Fossil fuels are frequently extracted in politically unstable, hostile countries or regions. In addition, they are ultimately finite. Both factors contribute to a growing U.S. need to increase our use of clean, renewable energy we can produce at home.
Energy Data
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Sources for Total Renewable Energy (BBtu) and Total Energy Consumption (BBtu) cover 2009 and are taken from the Energy Information Administration.
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Total 2009 energy expenditures by state taken from the Energy Information Administration.
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The cost of wind energy, estimated at 10 cents per kWh, is based on data found in an EIA report called the “2016 Levelized Cost of New Generation Resources” from the Annual Energy Outlook 2010.
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The cost of solar photovoltaic energy, estimated at 21 cents per kWh, is based on data found in an EIA report called the “2016 Levelized Cost of New Generation Resources” from the Annual Energy Outlook 2010.
Higher Education
Studies have shown that the benefits of higher education are enormous. An individual with a college degree can expect to earn 75 percent more than peers without a degree over the course of a lifetime. Additionally, society benefits from increased college graduation through lower crime rates and higher productivity in the workforce. Costs associated with attending college to achieve these benefits have skyrocketed; published tuition and fees rose 439 percent between 1982 and 2007. Unlocking higher education for those who cannot afford it is both critical and increasingly difficult.
Higher Education Data
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The information for each state university was obtained through each university's individual website.
City-level Impact
Recovery from the recent recession, when it comes, will be at the end of a long and painful struggle for most cities. The U.S. Conference of Mayors estimates that, on average, the metropolitan areas of the country will not return to peak employment until the first half of 2014, with many more taking longer to recoup their job losses.
Note: The Quarter System
The federal fiscal year runs from Oct. 1 of one year to Sept. 30 of the next. This year is separated into four quarters, which are the windows used by the U.S. Conference of Mayors report to illustrate when cities will return to peak employment levels.
Quarter 1: Oct. 1 to Dec. 31 (Fall)
Quarter 2: Jan. 1 to March 31 (Winter)
Quarter 3: April 1 to June 30 (Spring)
Quarter 4: July 1 to Sept. 30 (Summer)
City-level Impact Data
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Recovery estimates taken from “Pace of Economic Reovery: GMP and Jobs” published by the U.S. Conference of Mayors and the Council for the New American City.
Job Creation
Some suggest that increased and consistently high military spending leads to job creation, both direct and indirect. The Political Economy Research Institute at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst finds that investing $1 billion in education, healthcare, clean energy, or tax cuts would generate more jobs than investing the same $1 billion in military-related industries.
Job Creation Data
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The chart is based on “The U.S. Employment Effects of Military and Domestic Spending Priorities: An Updated Analysis” by Robert Pollin and Heidi Garrett-Peltier.
Military Spending
The scope of U.S. military spending is enormous compared to the rest of the federal budget, accounting for roughly 58 percent of discretionary spending and 20 percent of the total federal budget. It is important to remember that U.S. expenditures dwarf not only our domestic budget but every other country's defense budget.
Military Spending Data
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The figures for world military spending come from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute's Military Expenditure Database.